Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 3.285451 3.916327 4.619958 5.460614 6.435236 7.527107 8.840368
2025-11-23 2.387954 3.197883 4.195256 5.504277 7.166381 9.194753 11.844359
2025-11-30 1.806936 2.669773 3.823754 5.459207 7.692604 10.607558 14.665824
2025-12-07 1.354853 2.186843 3.384317 5.199204 7.837601 11.482445 16.833895
2025-12-14 1.090672 1.903696 3.151565 5.155561 8.227982 12.679606 19.510131
2025-12-21 0.899008 1.686435 2.968025 5.136322 8.621566 13.887337 22.283039
2025-12-28 0.808296 1.614078 2.993373 5.432681 9.512440 15.895078 26.398778
2026-01-04 0.708364 1.503738 2.933498 5.571954 10.154659 17.563570 30.122669
2026-01-11 0.638022 1.433310 2.928640 5.796964 10.951419 19.533017 34.467579
2026-01-18 0.551241 1.312687 2.811663 5.801804 11.361802 20.893180 37.917811
2026-01-25 0.457455 1.157799 2.603727 5.606408 11.387180 21.594013 40.307455
2026-02-01 0.381050 1.024191 2.415355 5.419127 11.398319 22.256935 42.664126
2026-02-08 0.332359 0.945589 2.331318 5.433727 11.802252 23.669815 46.481099
2026-02-15 0.290596 0.874752 2.252807 5.449020 12.208466 25.120490 50.479717
2026-02-22 0.250416 0.798573 2.149391 5.395803 12.468559 26.315106 54.093662
2026-03-01 0.204576 0.695523 1.964867 5.135998 12.270416 26.611163 56.041656
2026-03-08 0.177282 0.638014 1.880701 5.092065 12.520999 27.796781 59.761453
2026-03-15 0.155016 0.589767 1.811430 5.072806 12.820579 29.098987 63.792643
2026-03-22 0.148343 0.589166 1.867499 5.365826 13.845542 31.953636 71.082593
2026-03-29 0.136124 0.567266 1.862007 5.503546 14.527670 34.143554 77.171797
2026-04-05 0.127965 0.557312 1.888399 5.726087 15.427454 36.853812 84.487984
2026-04-12 0.113731 0.521745 1.834737 5.730872 15.809165 38.479400 89.659894
2026-04-19 0.095878 0.467128 1.714058 5.537613 15.689120 38.999972 92.542479